Dollar Buoyed Amid Safe Haven Flows

STATE OF THE MARKETS

Dollar buoyed amid safe haven flows. While US stocks closed mixed, with Dow (-0.60%), S&P (-0.20%) pared back gains and only Nasdaq (+0.17%) finished in the green; block orders of 5Y US bonds worth almost $450 billion in the futures market was snapped, sending its yields from the high of 0.93% to the low of 0.79% on Tuesday. Similarly the 10Y benchmark, fell to 1.35%, the lowest in 19 weeks, which all in all helped buoy the greenback.

In the commodities market, crude futures were sold off as news hit the wires that UAE might lead in increasing supplies without any OPEC agreement, after the fall out with Saudi Arabia. The black gold settled below $73.50/bl as investors took profits off the table. Gold was on firm bids, as it closed above $1,796.50/oz ahead of the FOMC minutes on Wednesday.

In the FX space, Dollar regained short term demand, while being retained in medium to long term accounts, but failed to overbid Yen dan Kiwi. Traders and investors seemed more cautious ahead of the FOMC minutes and US data as Swiss backed in demand for medium to long term accounts. It seems that markets are expecting more hawkish minutes but data were not strong enough for Feds to move anytime sooner.


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G8 CURRENCIES SENTIMENTS

ST JPY USD NZD GBP CHF EUR AUD CAD ST
MT NZD USD JPY CHF AUD GBP CAD EUR MT
LT USD JPY GBP CHF NZD EUR CAD AUD LT
** ST refers to Short-Term daily turnover, MT is Medium Term weekly 
and LT refers to Long-Term monthly turnover.

WALL ST MOST ACTIVE

TICKER LAST PRICE

% CHANGE

VOLUME 90 DAYS AVG
DIDI 12.49 – 19.57 225,560.3K 180,123.9K
BSQR 7.05 + 77.14 202,793.4K 3,980.2K
XELA 2.68 + 42.55 170,868.4K 20,256.7K
AAPL 142.02 + 1.47 108,181.8K 92,261.3K
BLIN 12.23 + 36.34 98,934.3K 4,190.5K
AHT 2.54 – 35.86 94,836.5K 27,014.2K
SQQQ 8.71 – 1.19 94,030.0K 86,359.3K
OSAT 8.40 + 54.41 87,161.4K 262.1K
CLOV 10.00 – 14.60 76,125.0K 45,340.9K
WISH 11.89 + 2.06 74,437.3K 39,743.8K
** % Change here refer to price

WALL ST TOP FLOWS

TICKER LAST PRICE

VOLUME

% CHANGE FUNDS FLOW $
AMZN 3,675.74 6,744.7K + 99.37 24,791.8M
AAPL 142.02 108,181.8K + 44.55 15,364.0M
TSLA 659.58 23,284.4K – 1.10 15,357.9M
NVDA 827.94 11,167.6K + 2.65 9,246.1M
MSFT 277.66 31,565.5K + 35.17 8,764.5M
BABA 211.60 23,719.9K + 82.63 5,019.1M
FB 352.78 13,488.4K – 15.03 4,758.4M
AMD 94.47 44,930.1K + 11.97 4,244.5M
NIO 50.29 67,705.5K + 7.99 3,404.9M
GOOGL 2,523.80 1,320.1K + 4.84 3,331.7M
** % change here refers to volume

TOP 5 BLOCK ORDERS

SYMBOL PRICE / STRIKE TYPE VOL/OI FUNDS FLOW $
COOP 33.09 / 40.00 stock options/call 79.88 46.8M
AAPL 142.02 / 142.00 stock options/put 71.95 15,364.0M
GC 1,809.10 gold futures 300 54.3M
ZF 123.2450 – 123.2750 US bonds futures 36,500 449,900.6M
CL 61.53 – 75.77 crude oil futures 10,384 757.8M

OUR PICK – XAG/USD

As Feds tangled between inflation and bond tapering. While gold finished higher Tuesday, amid investors concerns that the Fed is not able to raise rates sooner, silver finished lower. Indeed as of this writing, silver is hovering above the convergence of it’s 1Y, 6M, 4M and 3M volume point of control, circa 26.00 – 26.20, which most likely be defended shall FOMC minutes showed a divergence of views in rate hike. As Feds is data dependent, any negative surprise in US data which prevents Fed from moving sooner will favor the precious metal complex. Risk remains, however, for the metal to retest the lower bound of it’s ascending channel, circa $25.50

HORIZON STRATEGY SL TP1 TP2
Short-Term Buy 25.45 26.75 27.50
Medium-Term Flat
Long-Term Flat

 

Disclaimer:

This article is for general information purpose only. It is not an investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Opinions expressed are of the authors and not necessarily of MFM Securities Limited or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

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